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Showing posts with the label political psychology

Help your students understand effect sizes using voter behaviors

Interpreting effect sizes requires more than Rules of Thumb for interpretation. Interpretation requires deeper knowledge about the investigated topic, an idea we must convey to our students. For example, in presidential elections in the United States, the winner is usually selected by a slim margin. As such, if you can get even small numbers of voters who don't usually vote to vote, it can have a large real-world effect on an election. This is what Vote Forward is trying to do, and I'll explain how you can use their work to explain effect sizes in your stats classes.  This is Vote Foreward : Okay. So they are organizing letter-writing campaigns in advance of the 2020 General Election. NOTE: The organization is left-leaning, but many of its campaigns ask letter-writers to share non-partisan messages.  Vote Forward has tested whether or not writing letters to unlikely voters actually gets people to vote, and they shared the results of those efforts: Their findings, which aren...

Judge strikes down Florida ballot law listing candidates from governor’s party first

I love court cases that hinge on statistics, like these two US Supreme Court cases: Hall vs. Florida , Brown vs. Entertainment Merchants Association . Such examples demonstrate the relevance of what students are learning in our class: in Hall vs. Florida, the margin of error saved a criminal from the death penalty. The majority opinion in Brown vs. Entertainment Merchants Association reiterates that correlation does not equal causation and brings up effect sizes. A recent case in Florida demonstrated that research about voting and candidate order on ballots can unfairly advantage candidates at the top of the list. Here is a brief summary from the Miami Herald : https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/state-politics/article237417779.html Here are portions of the actual decision from the Election Law Blog . The highlight in the paragraph below in mine, since the primacy effect is also something we talk about in Intro Psych. Also, note the terrific footnote....