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"The Quest To Create A Better Spy-Catching Algorithm"

"(Algorithms) are used so heavily, they don't just predict the future, they are the future." -Cathy O'Neil ^This quote from this NPR story made me punch the air in my little Subaru after dropping my kid off to school. What a great sentence. There are many great one-liners in this little five-minute review of algorithms. This NPR story by Dina Temple-Raston is a great primer for All The Ethical Issues Related To Algorithms, accessible to non- or novice-statisticians. It clocks in at just under five minutes, perfect as a discussion prompt or quick introduction to the topic. How to use in class: They talk about regression without ever saying "regression": "Algorithms use past patterns of success to predict the future." So, regression, right? Fancy regression, but that one line can take this fancy talk of algorithms and make it more applicable to your students. Sometimes, I feel like I'm just waving my hands when I try to explain thi...

Freakanomics Radio's "America's Math Curriculum Doesn't Add Up"

"I believe that we owe it to our children to prepare them for a world they will encounter, a world driven by data. Basic data fluency is a requirement, not just for most good jobs, but for navigating life more generally." -Steven Levitt Preach it, Steve. This edition of the Freakonomics podcast featured guest host Steven Levitt. He dedicated his episode to providing evidence for an overhaul of America's K-12 math curriculum. He argues that our kids need more information on data fluency. I'm not one to swoon over a podcast dedicated to math curriculums, but this one is about the history of how we teach math, the realities of the pressures our teachers face, and solutions. It is fascinating. You need to sit and listen to the whole thing, but here are some highlights: Our math curriculum was designed to help America fight the Space Race (yes, the one back in the 1960s). For a world without calculators. And not much has changed. Quick idea for teaching regr...

Planet Money's The Modal American

While teaching measures of central tendency in Intro stats, I have shrugged and said: "Yeah, mean and average are the same thing, I don't know why there are two words. Statisticians say mean so we'll say mean in this class." I now have a better explanation than that non-explanation, as verbalized by this podcast: The average is thrown around colloquially and can refer to mode, while mean can always be defined with a formula. This is a fun podcast that describes mode vs. mean, but it also describes the research the rabbit hole we sometimes go down when a seemingly straightforward question becomes downright intractable. Here, the question is: What is the modal American? The Planet Money Team, with the help of FiveThirtyEight's Ben Castlemen, eventually had to go non-parametric and divide people into broad categories and figure out which category had the biggest N. Here is the description of how they divided up : And, like, they had SO MANY CELLS in their des...

Pedagogy article recommendation: "Introducing the new statistics in the classroom."

I usually blog about funny examples for the teaching of statistics, but this example is for teachers teaching statistics. Normile, Bloesch, Davoli, & Scheer's recent publication, "Introducing the new statistics in the classroom" (2019) is very aptly and appropriately titled. It is a rundown on p-values and effect sizes and confidence intervals. Such reviews exist elsewhere, but this one is just so short and precise. Here are a few of the highlights: 1) The article concisely explains what isn't great or what is frequently misunderstood about NHST. 2) Actual guidelines for how to explain it in Psychological Statistics/Introduction to Statistics, including ideas for doing so without completely redesigning your class. 3) It also highlights one of the big reasons that I am so pro-JASP: Easy to locate and use effect sizes.

Hurricane Confidence Intervals

UPDATE 10/5/22: No paywall article that conveys the same information:  https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/cone-of-confusion-why-some-say-iconic-hurricane-map-misled-floridians/ar-AA12Bqyp Did you know that hurricane prediction maps are confidence intervals? This is one of my examples that serves more as a metaphor than a concrete explanation for a statistic, so bear with me. The New York Times created a beautiful, interactive website (it looked exceptionally sharp on my phone). The website attempts to explain what hurricane prediction maps tell us, versus how people interpret hurricane prediction maps. The website is at NYT, so you probably will hit a paywall if you have already viewed three stories on the NYT website in the last month. As such, I've included screenshots here. Here is a map with the projected hurricane path. People think that the white line indicates where the hurricane will go, and the red indicates bad weather. They also think that the broader path...

Transforming your data: A historical example

TL:DR: Global water temperature data from <1940 was collected by sailors collecting buckets of water from the ocean and recording the temperature of their bucket water. But some recorded data was rounded (thanks, Air Force!). Then, researchers had to transform their data. ^Go to the 3 minute mark to see the bucket-boat-water-temperature technique in action Here is the original research,  published in Nature . NPR covered the research article . Reporter Rebecca Hersher didn't discuss the entire research paper. Instead, she told the story of how the researchers discovered and corrected for their flawed ocean water temperature data. This story might be a little beyond Intro Stats, but it tells the story of messy, real archival data used to inform global climate change and b) introduces the idea of data transformations. Below, I will highlight some of the teaching items. Systematic bias: The data were all flawed in the same way as they were transcribed without any da...

CNN's The most effective ways to curb climate change might surprise you

CNN created an interactive quiz that will teach your students about a) making personal changes to support the environment, b) rank-order data, and c) nominal data. https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2019/04/specials/climate-change-solutions-quiz/ The website leads users through a quiz. For eight categories of environmental crisis solutions, you are asked to rank solutions by their effectiveness. Here are the instructions: Notice the three nominal categories for each solution: What you can do, What industries can do, What policymakers can do. Below, I've highlighted these data points for each of the "Our home and cities" solutions. There are also many, many examples of ordinal data. For each intervention category, the user is presented with several solutions and they must reorder the solutions from most to least effective. How the page looks when you are presented with solutions to rank order: The website then "grades" your respons...