Monday, October 26, 2015

Orlin's "What does probability mean in your profession?"

Math with Bad Drawings is a very accurately entitled blog. Math teacher Ben Orlin illustrates math principles, which means that he occasionally illustrates statistical principles. He dedicated one blog posting to probability, and what probability means in different contexts.

He starts out with a fairly standard and reasonable interpretation of p


Then he has some fun. The example below illustrates the gap that can exist between reality and reporting.


And then how philosophers handle probability (with high-p statements being "true").


And in honor of the current Star Wars frenzy:


And finally...one of Orlin's Twitter followers, JP de Ruiter, came up with this gem about p-values:




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